14 July 2015

New Horizons II (2004-2005)

Artist concept of the New Horizons spacecraft in the Pluto system. From bottom left to top right: New Horizons, Pluto,  and Charon. Image credit: NASA
The New Horizons II (NH II) mission was originally conceived in mid-2002 as an economical backup for the New Horizons mission to Pluto, its moons, and the Kuiper Belt. The brainchild of controversial Southwest Research Institute (SwRI) scientist Alan Stern, NH II was meant to ensure that NASA could explore Pluto and satisfy the stated desires of the planetary science community. In their 2002-2003 Decadal Survey of future goals for planetary exploration, planetary scientists rated Kuiper Belt exploration as their highest priority.

NASA had approved SwRI's New Horizons mission proposal in November 2001. The compact 478-kilogram spacecraft (image at top of post) was scheduled to launch atop a hefty Atlas V 551 rocket in January-February 2006. A Jupiter gravity-assist flyby in March 2007 would accelerate it toward Pluto with a flight time of only about eight years. If all went well, New Horizons would bring to bear on Pluto and its satellites a suite of seven science instruments in July 2015. New Horizons would then fly past one or more Kuiper Belt Objects (KBOs) in the 2016-2020 period.

For a time in 2004-2005, however, it appeared that it would leave Earth with a minimal supply of plutonium in its electricity-generating Radioisotope Thermal Generator (RTG). (In the image at the top of this post, the RTG is the black vaned cylinder at lower left.) The plutonium shortage stemmed from a security breakdown at the Department of Energy (DOE) laboratory that produced the plutonium New Horizons needed. Without an RTG fully loaded with plutonium, it was unlikely that New Horizons could operate for long enough to reach a KBO.

The shortage caused SwRI to propose a modified version of NH II. In its purest form, the new NH II would aim exclusively to explore one or more KBOs. It would leave Earth at least a year after New Horizons, hopefully enabling it to launch with a topped-off RTG.

To cut costs, NH II would be a "clone" of New Horizons. SwRI estimated that, by avoiding new development and by drawing on the experience it had gained from New Horizons, the NH II mission would cost only $472 million; that is, at least $200 million less than New Horizons.

SwRI found that NH II could launch to one or more of the hundreds of KBOs known in 2004-2005 any time that a launch window for Jupiter opened (that is, every 13 months). The March 2008 and April 2009 launch opportunities were especially attractive, however, because they would permit a Uranus flyby in the 2014-2017 period en route to the target KBO. This would make NH II only the second spacecraft to explore the Sun's seventh planet; the first was Voyager 2 in January 1986.

This Hubble Space Telescope image shows Uranus approaching equinox in 2005 and at the time of equinox in 2007. The image also shows bright clouds, bands, and other signs of atmospheric activity absent when Voyager 2 flew through the Uranus system during southern hemisphere summer in 1986. Image credit: NASA/Space Telescope Science Institute
All of the planets except Uranus rotate on an axis more or less perpendicular to the plane of their orbit around the Sun. Earth, for example, is tilted at 23.44° relative to the plane of its orbit. Uranus is tipped on its side relative to the other planets, meaning that its rotational axis is nearly parallel to the plane of its orbit.

Uranus has at least 27 moons, of which five (Miranda, Ariel, Umbriel, Titania, and Oberon) range from 450 to 1600 kilometers in diameter. It also has a system of at least 11 rings. The rings and moons revolve around Uranus in the plane of its equator, which means that the entire Uranus system appears to pivot around the Sun on its side. Uranus needs a little more than 84 years to circle the Sun once.

When Voyager 2 flew past Uranus, the planet's south pole was pointed toward the Sun; that is, its southern hemisphere was near the middle of a 21-year summer. Uranus's northern hemisphere was pointed away from the Sun, so was locked in dark winter. The same applied to its moons; their southern hemispheres were fully lit and their northern hemispheres were cloaked in cold darkness. This meant that Voyager 2 could not image their northern hemispheres. Uranus's equator would be turned more toward the Sun when NH II flew past, so the spacecraft would be able to observe the Uranus system in its entirety.

Uranus appeared bland to Voyager 2, and the visible parts of its largest moons showed many intriguing features but no signs of present-day activity. In 1998, however, the Hubble Space Telescope revealed about 20 bright clouds in Uranus's atmosphere, and more bright clouds have since been observed. In addition, astronomers have spotted glowing aurorae at its magnetic poles, which do not match its rotational poles.

Small worlds similar to the Uranian moons in size and mass have turned out to be surprisingly active. Saturn's 500-kilometer-diameter moon Enceladus, to cite the best-known example, has squirting from warm areas at its south pole jets of water vapor laden with salt and organic compounds.

Binary Kuiper Belt Object 1999 TC36, Image credit: NASA/Space Telescope Science Institute
After flying past Uranus, NH II would continue onward to its primary destination. If launched from Earth in March 2008, the spacecraft could zip past the binary KBO 1999 TC36 as early as September 2020. Launch in April 2009 could lead to a flyby no later than April 2023. 1999 TC36, currently orbiting the Sun at about 31 times the Earth-Sun distance, comprises two close KBOs, one about 285 kilometers across and the other about 265 kilometers in diameter. Circling the close pair is a moon about 140 kilometers wide.

NH II might instead be directed toward a flyby of 2002 UX25, a roughly 680-kilometer-diameter KBO with a 205-kilometer satellite. If launch took place in March 2008, the flyby could occur as early as July 2022. Earth departure in early May 2009 would yield a 2002 UX25 flyby in July 2023. 2002 UX25 currently orbits the Sun at about 41 times the Earth-Sun distance. With a fully fueled RTG, additional KBO flybys after the 1999 TC36 or 2002 UX25 flyby would be possible.

In late 2004, as the plutonium shortage became apparent, the New Horizons team appealed to Congress for funds for an NH II mission study. NASA's Fiscal Year 2005 budget appropriation called for such a study, though Congress failed to actually fund it. Nevertheless, in early 2005 NASA Headquarters tasked NASA Goddard Space Flight Center in suburban Washington, DC, with an independent study of the NH II concept.

The DOE subsequently was able to resolve its security problems and provide a full load of plutonium for the New Horizons RTG, so NASA dropped the NH II concept. New Horizons left Earth on 19 January 2006, flew past Jupiter on 28 February 2007, and flew through the Pluto system in mid-July 2015.

The spacecraft's next goal after Pluto is, of course, a KBO. New Horizons left Earth with no KBO target; since its launch, however, a trio of candidate KBOs has been identified using the Hubble Space Telescope. The most likely next target for New Horizons is designated 1110113Y or Potential Target-1 (PT-1). If all goes well, New Horizons should reach the roughly 45-kilometer-wide KBO, which is 43.4 times Earth's distance from the Sun, in January 2019.

Sources

New Horizons 2: A Journey to New Frontiers, presentation materials, A. Stern, Southwest Research Institute, 10 June 2005

New Horizons II Mission Design, presentation materials, Y. Guo, 16 June 2004

“New Horizons II: Doubling UP in the Outer Solar System,” L. David, Space.com, 17 June 2004

“New Horizons Set to Launch with Minimum Amount of Plutonium,” B. Berger, Space News, 4 October  2004

"Finally! New Horizons has a Second Target," E. Lakdawalla, 15 October 2014: http://www.planetary.org/blogs/emily-lakdawalla/2014/10151024-finally-new-horizons-has-a-kbo.html (accessed 15 July 2015)

More Information

The Challenge of the Planets, Part Three: Gravity

The Seventh Planet: A Gravity-Assist Tour of the Uranian System (2003)

4 comments:

  1. I wasn't aware of this planned mission thanks for posting

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  2. Pu-238 so critical to space exploration ops. Very interested to see what comes next or if we keep making it. Doesn't seem like DOE can produce Pu-238 quickly enough in sufficient quantities to do what we did from 1970-2015. Very curious to see what's next as a power source or if Pu-238 production could be increased. On the bright side, 16 months of Pluto download data to look forward to.

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  3. We've seen some effort made to develop new power sources; unfortunately, funding has been difficult to come by. Rosetta and Juno might be models for some future missions; not so many years ago some engineers would have claimed that a solar-powered spacecraft operating beyond the Asteroid Belt would be impractical. Perhaps we'll see spacecraft with small nuclear sources for heat and large, delicate solar arrays for electricity.

    dsfp

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